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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
41.27% ( 0.02) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 34.1% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.02) | 44.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( -0.02) | 66.74% ( 0.03) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -0) | 21.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( -0) | 54.6% ( 0) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0.03) | 25.3% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% ( -0.03) | 60.07% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.1% |
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