Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7%).