SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
53.37% ( 0.13) | 24.37% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( -0.04) | 50.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( -0.04) | 72.59% ( 0.04) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( 0.04) | 18.93% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( 0.05) | 50.44% ( -0.05) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.13) | 37.46% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( -0.13) | 74.25% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.25% |
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