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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
53.67% ( 0.17) | 22.71% ( 0.32) | 23.62% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( -1.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.87% ( -1.99) | 42.13% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( -2.02) | 64.53% ( 2.02) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.64) | 15.68% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.27% ( -1.2) | 44.73% ( 1.2) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( -1.49) | 31.48% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% ( -1.76) | 67.87% ( 1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.6% Total : 53.67% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 23.62% |
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