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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29
Sep 5, 2021 at 1am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
FD

Salt Lake
3 - 2
Dallas

Glad (42'), Menendez (54'), Rusnak (72')
Herrera (45+2'), Rusnak (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jara (19'), Ferreira (80')
Obrian (25'), Burgess (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawDallas
53.48%24.72%21.8%
Both teams to score 49.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.46%52.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.8%74.2%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46%51.54%
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.05%38.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32%75.68%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 53.47%
    Dallas 21.8%
    Draw 24.72%
Real Salt LakeDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.47%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.63%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.42%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 21.8%

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