Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
