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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
PT

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
Portland

Hernandez (62'), Kljestan (90+2' pen.)
Hernandez (38'), Kljestan (87'), Joveljic (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blanco (72')
Bonilla (44'), Chara (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
55.87%22.56%21.58%
Both teams to score 55.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2%43.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82%66.18%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48%15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57%44.43%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76%34.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06%70.94%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 55.87%
    Portland Timbers 21.58%
    Draw 22.56%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.22%
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 55.87%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.31%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 21.58%

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