SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
49.83% ( 0.01) | 24.37% ( 0) | 25.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0.01) | 47.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( -0.01) | 69.64% ( 0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0) | 19.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% | 50.67% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.02) | 32.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( -0.02) | 69.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.8% |
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