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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
61.28% ( -0) | 21.15% ( 0) | 17.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -0.02) | 43.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( -0.02) | 65.77% ( 0.01) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.01) | 13.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.15% ( -0.01) | 40.84% ( 0) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( -0.02) | 38.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( -0.01) | 74.95% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.01% Total : 61.26% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.42% 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.57% |
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