New York City are yet to hit their stride this season, while the hosts have made a strong start, and we can only envisage another victory for the Revs on Saturday with home advantage and a squad full of quality.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
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