SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
52.82% ( 0.03) | 22.94% ( -0) | 24.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0) | 42.52% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0) | 64.93% ( -0) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 0.01) | 16.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( 0.02) | 45.53% ( -0.02) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -0.02) | 31.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( -0.02) | 67.52% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.24% |
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