Portland Timbers were beaten in their last home encounter but have not suffered back to back defeats on home turf in almost two years, which certainly makes for good reading. We are backing the hosts to narrowly get the job done in what should be an open and end-to-end affair.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
