SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
46.12% ( 0.08) | 24.8% ( 0.01) | 29.07% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( -0.11) | 47.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( -0.1) | 69.32% ( 0.1) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.01) | 20.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.01) | 52.94% ( 0.01) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( -0.12) | 29.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( -0.15) | 65.96% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 29.07% |
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