Los Angeles FC will be wanting an immediate response after being beaten in their most recent outing, and they will believe that a derby victory is an ideal way to achieve that. LA Galaxy will be sure to provide a stern test for them though as they have been impressive themselves as of late, but with the home advantage against them this could be a tough task. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
53.2% ( -3.06)	22.78% ( 0.88)	24.01% ( 2.16)

Both teams to score 58% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95% (

-1.59)

42.04% (

1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.55% (

-1.62)

64.44% (

1.61)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19% (

-1.56)

15.81% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.02% (

-2.96)

44.97% (

2.95)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

31.1% (

-1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

1.15)

67.43% (

-1.16)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 53.2%

Los Angeles Galaxy 24.01%

Draw 22.78%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.35) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.01%