SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 14 | 36 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 18 | 0 | 29 |
| 3 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
53.2% ( -3.06) | 22.78% ( 0.88) | 24.01% ( 2.16) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% ( -1.59) | 42.04% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -1.62) | 64.44% ( 1.61) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -1.56) | 15.81% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.02% ( -2.96) | 44.97% ( 2.95) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 1) | 31.1% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( 1.15) | 67.43% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.35)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.01% |
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