SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
66.62% ( 0.54) | 18.64% ( 0) | 14.75% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.8% ( -1.22) | 37.2% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.59% ( -1.33) | 59.4% ( 1.32) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.65% ( -0.21) | 10.35% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.17% ( -0.47) | 33.82% ( 0.47) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -1.48) | 37.91% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( -1.46) | 74.69% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.86% Total : 66.61% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.75% |
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