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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
35.71% ( -0.12) | 24.35% ( 0.02) | 39.94% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% ( -0.1) | 42.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( -0.1) | 65.13% ( 0.11) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.11) | 23.62% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( -0.16) | 57.71% ( 0.17) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( 0.01) | 21.46% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( 0) | 54.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.94% |
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