Given the quality in each of their ranks, we predict a close encounter on Saturday between two well-matched sides. LA Galaxy have been slightly more convincing in the early stages of the campaign, and for that reason, alongside the benefit of home advantage, we fancy them to scrape a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Orlando City
48.35%	24.8%	26.85%

Both teams to score 54.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52%

48.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39%

70.61%

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.91%

20.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.67%

52.33%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74%

32.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24%

68.76%

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 48.35%

Orlando City 26.85%

Draw 24.79%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.35%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.85%