Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
