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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44
Nov 7, 2021 at 11pm UK
The Home Depot Center
MU

LA Galaxy
3 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Lletget (45+2'), Hernandez (52', 75')
Araujo (41')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hunou (24'), Lod (35'), Araujo (62' og.)
Dibassy (2'), Reynoso (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
51.87%22.88%25.24%
Both teams to score 59.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7%41.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3%63.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99%16.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.67%45.33%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28%29.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22%65.78%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 51.87%
    Minnesota United 25.24%
    Draw 22.88%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.24%

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