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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
RS

Portland
6 - 1
Salt Lake

Mora (27'), Asprilla (36'), Chara (48'), Chara (68'), Niezgoda (85'), Paredes (88')
Chara (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kreilach (41')
Ruiz (51'), Glad (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
46.58%23.84%29.57%
Both teams to score 59.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5%42.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1%64.9%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37%49.62%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79%27.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38%62.62%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 46.58%
    Real Salt Lake 29.57%
    Draw 23.84%
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 7.17%
3-1 @ 5.26%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 29.57%

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