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LA
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
NY

Los Angeles
2 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Arango (67'), Palacios (70')
Acosta (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nealis (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-0 New York Red Bulls

The California heat should favour the home team, as New York might have to reduce the amount of pressing they do in that warm weather, while the Black and Gold are accustomed to playing in those conditions and have not been shut out of a regular-season home fixture all year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.95% (0.133 0.13) 23.4% (-0.102 -0.1) 25.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.64% (0.318 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (0.437 0.44)43.33% (-0.435 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (0.428 0.43)65.73% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.211 0.21)17.08% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (0.371 0.37)47.26% (-0.371 -0.37)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.21000000000001 0.21)30.48% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (0.245 0.24)66.7% (-0.245 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 50.95%
    New York Red Bulls 25.64%
    Draw 23.4%
Los Angeles FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.19% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 25.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, June 18 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Los Angeles
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 8 at 4am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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