Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.