SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Minnesota United |
50.07% ( -0.1) | 25.07% ( 0.04) | 24.85% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( -0.09) | 51.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.07) | 72.96% ( 0.08) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.07) | 20.42% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( -0.12) | 52.87% ( 0.13) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( 0.01) | 35.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% ( 0.01) | 72.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.85% |
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