SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 1 | 34 |
| 5 | Nashville SC | 24 | 0 | 33 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 4 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 8 | Toronto | 23 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | DC United | 22 | -20 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Toronto |
55.09% ( -0.2) | 23.61% ( 0.04) | 21.3% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0) | 48.63% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 0.01) | 70.74% ( -0) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( -0.07) | 17.51% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( -0.13) | 48.03% ( 0.13) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.77% ( 0.16) | 37.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% ( 0.16) | 74.02% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.3% |
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