SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Nashville SC | 25 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 2 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 26 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 24 | 4 | 35 |
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | -2 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Minnesota United |
53.17% ( 0.08) | 23.56% ( 0.02) | 23.26% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% ( -0.16) | 46.3% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( -0.15) | 68.59% ( 0.15) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.03) | 17.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.24% ( -0.05) | 47.76% ( 0.05) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.17) | 34.08% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( -0.18) | 70.77% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.17% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.26% |
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