Major League Soccer

Aug 15, 2022 at 2.25am UK

Nissan Stadium

Nashville
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Williams (61')
Leal (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fragapane (27'), Benitez (75')
Reynoso (31'), Fragapane (45+1'), Lod (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Nashville SC 2-3 Minnesota United

Both sides have been involved in entertaining contests of late, and we think that Sunday's encounter will also produce goals, but after winning three of their last four away games, we think that Minnesota will edge out Nashville. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Minnesota United
53.17% ( 0.08)	23.56% ( 0.02)	23.26% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.47% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.7% (

-0.16)

46.3% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.41% (

-0.15)

68.59% (

0.15)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

-0.03)

17.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.24% (

-0.05)

47.76% (

0.05)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

-0.17)

34.08% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.18)

70.77% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 53.17%

Minnesota United 23.26%

Draw 23.56%

Nashville SC	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.26%