Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.