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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Aug 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
N

Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville

Gonzalez (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castellanos (41')
McCarty (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
42.98%27.19%29.83%
Both teams to score 48.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02%25.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01%60.99%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87%34.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18%70.81%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 42.97%
    Nashville SC 29.83%
    Draw 27.18%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 42.97%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.83%

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