Both sides will be looking to build on their victories last weekend, with Minnesota seeking to secure their fourth successive MLS victory and climb into the top three of the Western Conference. Considering the form the hosts will take into Thursday's game and their superior home record against Kansas City, we feel that the Loons will come away with all three points at Allianz Field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
61.62% ( 0.18)	21.08% ( -0.05)	17.29% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.47% (

0.01)

43.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.08% (

0.01)

65.91% (

-0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39% (

0.06)

13.6% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.26% (

0.11)

40.73% (

-0.12)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.39% (

-0.15)

38.61% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64% (

-0.14)

75.35% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 61.62%

Sporting Kansas City 17.29%

Draw 21.08%

Minnesota United	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 61.62%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.29%