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Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Empire Field
MU

Vancouver
1 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Cavallini (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hlongwane (71'), Amarilla (84'), Fragapane (88')
Lod (24')

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Minnesota United

With very little separating the two teams in the league table, this will no doubt be a closely fought encounter between them on Saturday as they both look to gain dominance in the division. Vancouver Whitecaps have the home advantage here though, and they are in stronger form overall as of late, which is something that should lead to them picking up the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMinnesota United
46.53% (2.072 2.07) 26% (-0.449 -0.45) 27.47% (-1.625 -1.63)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.89 0.89)52.99% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.752 0.75)74.58% (-0.756 -0.76)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (1.363 1.36)22.75% (-1.366 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (1.982 1.98)56.44% (-1.984 -1.98)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)34.16% (0.787 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.856 -0.86)70.85% (0.854 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 46.52%
    Minnesota United 27.47%
    Draw 25.99%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.379 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.281 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.101 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.165 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.184 0.18)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.35% (-0.485 -0.48)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, July 3 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, June 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 4-0 Vancouver
Wednesday, June 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-2 Salt Lake
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Monday, May 23 at 12am in Major League Soccer


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