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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
MI

Orlando City
1 - 1
Montreal

Mueller (45')
Rosell (30'), Schlegel (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Camacho (51')
Sunusi (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCF Montreal
47.27%24.12%28.6%
Both teams to score 57.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65%44.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28%66.72%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62%50.38%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34%64.66%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 47.27%
    CF Montreal 28.61%
    Draw 24.11%
Orlando CityDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 47.27%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.61%

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