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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 25, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
NE

Orlando City
2 - 2
New England

Nani (39'), Dike (50' pen.)
Mueller (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buksa (81', 90+3')
Farrell (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
46.92%23.42%29.66%
Both teams to score 60.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54%40.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16%62.83%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48%17.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.97%48.03%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81%61.19%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 46.92%
    New England Revolution 29.66%
    Draw 23.42%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 6.14%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.66%

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