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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 26
Aug 19, 2021 at 12am UK
Gillette Stadium
DU

New England
3 - 2
DC United

McNamara (49'), Buchanan (53'), Jones (85')
Ingvi Traustason (33'), Kaptoum (42'), DeLaGarza (60'), Ingvi Traustason (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arriola (10'), Abila (90+6')
Rodrigo Asad (32'), Birnbaum (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
64.76%20.03%15.2%
Both teams to score 51.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25%42.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85%65.15%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55%12.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.62%38.38%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.22%40.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 64.75%
    DC United 15.2%
    Draw 20.03%
New England RevolutionDrawDC United
2-0 @ 11.01%
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 6.87%
4-0 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.08%
5-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 64.75%
1-1 @ 9.49%
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.03%
0-1 @ 4.55%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.33%
1-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 15.2%

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