SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 64.76% | 20.03% | 15.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.25% | 42.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% | 65.15% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.55% | 12.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.62% | 38.38% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% | 40.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.65% | 77.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.36% Total : 64.75% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.76% Total : 15.2% |
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