We saw this week how far Cincinnati have come under their new coach, and, at the same time, how far they still have to go to be an elite team in this league, as they still lack structure on the back end, allowing the most goals in the Eastern Conference (30) this season. By no means are the Revs the most rugged defensive unit out there, but we expect their attacking depth collectively will be just a cut above Cincinnati. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	FC Cincinnati
66.24% ( -1.05)	19.43% ( 0.52)	14.33% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.14% (

-1.25)

41.86% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73% (

-1.27)

64.26% (

1.27)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.22% (

-0.64)

11.77% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.04% (

-1.39)

36.96% (

1.38)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.57% (

-0.04)

41.43% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.06% (

-0.04)

77.93% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 66.23%

FC Cincinnati 14.33%

Draw 19.43%

New England Revolution	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.66% Total : 66.23%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.43%	0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.33%