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CF
Major League Soccer
May 15, 2022 at 1am UK
Toyota Park
FC

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Duran (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati

Both of these teams are enjoying vastly different seasons right now, and because of that they should be heading into the match with opposing levels of confidence. Chicago Fire could end up at the foot of the table with a defeat, and the visitors should be able to secure a routine win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
55.9%24.04%20.06%
Both teams to score 48.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13%51.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37%73.62%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58%18.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42%49.57%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62%40.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23%76.99%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 55.89%
    FC Cincinnati 20.06%
    Draw 24.04%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 55.89%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, May 7 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, April 23 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 17 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Dallas
Saturday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 8 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 24 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-4 Montreal
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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