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Sunday, April 28
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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 37
Oct 3, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
DU

Orlando City
2 - 1
DC United

Jansson (17'), Dike (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gressel (6')
Alfaro (20'), Canouse (67'), Hamid (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.82%. A win for DC United had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawDC United
49.82%23.79%26.39%
Both teams to score 57.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58%44.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21%66.79%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08%17.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27%48.72%
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52%30.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31%66.68%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 49.82%
    DC United 26.39%
    Draw 23.78%
Orlando CityDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.82%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.7%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-1 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.39%

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