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NY
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 9
May 29, 2021 at 6pm UK
Red Bull Arena
OC

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Orlando City

Clark (35'), Casseres Jr (60')
Davis (65'), Casseres Jr (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van der Water (84')
Carlos (52'), Mendez (56'), Jansson (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
45.09%26.71%28.19%
Both teams to score 49.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68%55.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46%76.54%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12%58.88%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17%34.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43%71.57%
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 45.09%
    Orlando City 28.19%
    Draw 26.71%
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 28.19%

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