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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 17, 2021 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
CR

Salt Lake
3 - 1
Colorado

Kreilach (13'), Rubin (57'), Julio (90+6')
Holt (61'), Ochoa (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Namli (73')
Warner (22'), Price (31'), Rubio (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawColorado Rapids
42.39%26.47%31.13%
Both teams to score 51.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85%53.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28%74.72%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18%24.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59%59.41%
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 42.39%
    Colorado Rapids 31.13%
    Draw 26.47%
Real Salt LakeDrawColorado Rapids
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.39%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.03%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.13%

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