Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.25% ( 0.12) | 25.32% ( -0.01) | 36.43% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.86% ( 0.02) | 47.14% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% ( 0.02) | 69.37% ( -0.02) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% ( 0.07) | 24.27% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.36% ( 0.1) | 58.63% ( -0.1) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( -0.05) | 25.26% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.98% ( -0.07) | 60.02% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.43% |
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