SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
57.95% ( 0.06) | 22.27% ( -0) | 19.78% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( -0.05) | 44.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( -0.05) | 67.26% ( 0.05) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0) | 15.21% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% ( -0) | 43.86% ( 0) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.08) | 36.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -0.08) | 73.45% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.95% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.78% |
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