Only two teams in the Eastern and Western Conference have netted more than Charlotte's five away from home, implying that the Crown are primed to inflict another defeat on a side who are the joint-third lowest scorers in the MLS.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
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