SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
50.16% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( 0) | 25.46% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.04) | 47.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.04) | 69.92% ( 0.04) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% | 19.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( 0) | 50.64% ( 0) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.06) | 32.98% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( -0.06) | 69.56% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.46% |
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