Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
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