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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
61.57% ( 0.25) | 20.77% ( -0.07) | 17.65% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.02) | 41.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( -0.02) | 63.87% ( 0.02) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( 0.07) | 12.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.54% ( 0.14) | 39.46% ( -0.14) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( -0.23) | 36.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( -0.23) | 73.75% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.58% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 17.65% |
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