Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
62.43% ( -0.03)	21.68% ( -0.07)	15.9% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 48.16% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

0.5)

48.52% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

0.45)

70.64% (

-0.45)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

0.16)

14.97% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6% (

0.29)

43.4% (

-0.29)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64% (

0.45)

43.36% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.41% (

0.37)

79.59% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 62.41%

Chicago Fire 15.9%

Draw 21.68%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 62.41%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.68%	0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 15.9%