SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
45.22% ( -0.2) | 24.55% ( 0.22) | 30.23% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( -0.99) | 45.38% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.95) | 67.71% ( 0.95) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( -0.49) | 20.17% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.54% ( -0.78) | 52.46% ( 0.79) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.51) | 28.21% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( -0.64) | 63.91% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.23% |
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