SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
64.88% ( 0.01) | 19.56% ( -0) | 15.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( 0.02) | 39.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.02) | 62.2% ( -0.02) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( 0.01) | 11.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.52% ( 0.02) | 36.49% ( -0.02) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.01) | 38.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 0.01) | 75.25% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 64.88% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.57% |
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