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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
46.57% ( 0.53) | 23.31% ( 0.03) | 30.11% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( -0.44) | 39.68% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.46) | 62.03% ( 0.46) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.03) | 17.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( 0.06) | 47.73% ( -0.07) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.57) | 25.44% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0.79) | 60.27% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.11% |
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