SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
53.99% ( -0.06) | 23.58% ( 0.03) | 22.43% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0.08) | 47.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( -0.07) | 69.48% ( 0.08) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.05) | 17.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( -0.09) | 47.85% ( 0.09) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% ( -0.01) | 35.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% ( -0.02) | 72.14% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.41% 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.43% |
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