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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
31.15% ( -1.72) | 23.5% ( -0.45) | 45.35% ( 2.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.52% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.94% ( 1.42) | 40.06% ( -1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.57% ( 1.45) | 62.43% ( -1.45) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( -0.35) | 24.99% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( -0.48) | 59.64% ( 0.48) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( 1.48) | 17.98% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( 2.47) | 48.84% ( -2.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.75% Total : 45.35% |
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