Having managed to put a crucial win on the board last time out, Chicago Fire will be keen to build a positive run, and they have a good opportunity to do so against the Western Conference's basement side. The two teams each have the ability to cause the other problems, and we just lean towards a second consecutive win for Hendrickson's side on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Chicago Fire
59.94% ( -0.3)	21.79% ( 0.18)	18.27% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0.63)

45.03% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0.6)

67.38% (

0.6)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.38% (

-0.3)

14.61% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.28% (

-0.58)

42.72% (

0.58)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.63% (

-0.24)

38.37% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.87% (

-0.23)

75.13% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 59.93%

Chicago Fire 18.27%

Draw 21.79%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.93%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.27%