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SJ
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 2am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
CF
Earthquakes
2 - 1
Chicago Fire
Kikanovic (47', 87')
Marie (63'), Kikanovic (73'), Lopez (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutierrez (90+5')
Mueller (27'), Gimenez (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Chicago Fire

Having managed to put a crucial win on the board last time out, Chicago Fire will be keen to build a positive run, and they have a good opportunity to do so against the Western Conference's basement side. The two teams each have the ability to cause the other problems, and we just lean towards a second consecutive win for Hendrickson's side on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
59.94% (-0.299 -0.3) 21.79% (0.183 0.18) 18.27% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.62% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.627 -0.63)45.03% (0.623 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.60400000000001 -0.6)67.38% (0.601 0.6)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)14.61% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.28% (-0.58 -0.58)42.72% (0.577 0.58)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)38.37% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (-0.232 -0.23)75.13% (0.22800000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 59.93%
    Chicago Fire 18.27%
    Draw 21.79%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 59.93%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.109 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 28 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Kansas
Monday, May 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Portland
Thursday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 3-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 15 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 22 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

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